- Safaricom: Value Investing Against Bear Runs
- PesaLink: the silver lining in bank stocks
- Ditch that Merry-Go-Round Club Now
- Weak shilling, subdued market, great opportunity!
- Investing Through NSE Bear Runs
- Is there Hope for Kenya Airways?
- REITS 101: A Premier on Real Estate Investment Trusts
- The Leading Supplier of CO2 in East Africa
- Atlas Development Support Services - Why Ethiopia?
- A brief on Equity Group Holdings
- The Potential of Kengen
- Part 9: Being a Good Company Does'nt Mean Being a Good Stock
- Why you should accumulate Safaricom shares
- Part 8: Buy the Rumour, Sell the Fact
- Part 7: You Can't Go Broke Taking a Profit
- Part 6: A Paper Loss Is Not a Loss
- Part 5: If Institutional Investors are Buying, Then The Stock Must Be a very Good
- Part 4: Cut Your Losses and Let Your Profits Run.
- Part 3: Buy the Stock That Splits
- Part 2: The Stock Market Rises as the Bond Market Falls
- Part 1: Buy When There Is Blood on the Street
- Centum: Potential Upside with a Price Target of KES 142.67
- Bamburi Cement: Valuation scenarios using the dividend discount model
- Risks of Buy and Hold Strategy
- Is ARM Cement a buy in spite of the premium valuation?
myStocks Blog & Market Commentary
ABNís David Williams speaks with Daniel Chege, Equity and Fixed Income Dealer at Cannon Asset Managers, looking at: Treasury warning of investor fears of political violence around the elections, Kenya Airways woes around executives and fleet, Safaricom a darling of the NSE; Close 20-yr bond sale today
Daniel Chege, Fixed Income Dealer at Cannon Asset Managers, looking at: NSE 20 share index closed 0.86% lower; Eveready EA posted a KSH 68.9mn in FY PBT; Co-Op bank has produced a loan of $60mn from the IFC
Recap of day's trading
In July 2012 inflation rate dropped more than the market had anticipated to 7.74% and subsequently interest rates have fallen with 91-days TBills currently at 8.58% as at 24th August 2012. The fall in inflation gives MPC room for further CBR cut during next month meeting and concern on stability of Kenya Shilling to be addressed by CBK continually mopping up liquidity.
The panic reaction from the MPC has been set off by the public outcry that has followed the exchange rate crossing the psychological barrier of USD 1 = KES 100. The public outcry has led to the setting up of a task-force by the Prime Minister to advise on the exchange rate as well as a parliamentary enquiry into the causes of the decline in the Kenya Shilling.
The Central Bank of Kenya proposes to issue a new Infrastructure Bond IFB1/2011/12 on 3rd October 2011. This is the 5th Infrastructure Bond being issued by the CBK.
Overnight interest rates went on a roller coaster ride in August, rising from 6.7% on 10th August to a high of 28.40% on 26th August and then down below 6% by 9th September. In our last month's newsletter we had forecast that our Pessimistic scenario of interest rates was starting to play out and that the 91-day Treasury bill would rise to 11-12% in the next few months.
In the statement issued by the Monetary Policy Commitee (MPC) following their meeting, the committee noted that "the market had confused the role of the CBK Overnight Window rate as a signal of monetary policy". Further it was clarified that the "Overnight Window Rate" was in fact an outcome of the CBR, a penalty, and a measure of market tightness
The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) held a special meeting on 14th September 2011. The meeting had become necessary as the previous actions of the MPC this year had been largely ineffective, and the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) had been forced to take a number of measures between the MPC meetings in order to stabilize markets.
The market was impacted by the uncertainty in global markets - the debt crisis in Greece and other European countries, the stand-off in the US regarding the debt ceiling and the downgrade of US Government debt by Standard & Poor. The NSE All Share Index fell to 76.14 on 25th August 2011, down 22.16% points from the beginning of the year and down 9.70% points from the beginning of the month.
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IndicesNSE 20-Share IndexNSE All-Share Index
AgriculturalEaagads LtdKakuziKapchorua Tea Company LtdLimuru Tea Company LtdSasini Tea and Coffee LtdWilliamson Tea Kenya Ltd
Automobiles and AccessoriesCar and General (K) LtdMarshalls (E. A.) Ltd
BankingBarclays Bank LtdCo-operative Bank of Kenya…Diamond Trust Bank Kenya LtdEquity Group Holdings LtdHF Group LimitedI & M Holdings LimitedKenya Commercial Bank LtdNational Bank of Kenya LtdNIC Bank LtdStanbic Holdings LtdStandard Chartered Bank Ltd
Commercial and ServicesDeacons (East Africa) PLCExpress LtdKenya Airways LtdLonghorn Kenya LtdNairobi Business Ventures…Nation Media GroupStandard Group LtdTPS Eastern Africa (Serena)…
Construction and AlliedARM Cement LtdBamburi Cement LtdCrown Berger LtdEast African Cables LtdEast African Portland Cement…
Energy and PetroleumKenolKobil LtdKenya Electricity Generating…Kenya Power and Lighting LtdTotal Kenya LtdUmeme Limited
InsuranceBritam Holdings LtdCIC Insurance Group LtdJubilee Holdings LtdKenya Re-Insurance…Liberty Kenya Holdings LtdSanlam Kenya Plc
Investment ServicesNairobi Securities Exchange…
Manufacturing and AlliedBOC Kenya LtdBritish American Tobacco…Carbacid Investments LtdEast African Breweries LtdEveready East Africa LtdKenya Orchards LtdMumias Sugar Company LtdUnga Group Ltd
Telecommunication and Tech…Safaricom Ltd
Growth Enterprise MarketAtlas African Industries…Flame Tree Group Holdings…